My Next Prediction

GTY_sanders_clinton_smile_jef_160211_16x9_992On June 6th I predicted a Hillary win on Tuesday a Bernie concession on Wednesday and an Obama endorsement on Thursday. Two out of three ain’t bad.

Today I look into my crystal ball following Bernie’s Press Conference and the two candidates meeting yesterday. A one hour meeting which turned into two. Described as positive. Both candidates leaving with smiles on their faces. Yet still no beaming endorsement of Hillary.

Past the initial pleasantries, my guess is that at some point early on Hillary pointed to Bernie’s earlier statement that “We need a party which is prepared to stand up for the disappearing middle class, for the 47 million people in this country who are living in poverty, and take on the greed of the powerful special interests that are doing so much harm to this country, who have so much power over the political and economic life of our country,” and added with a chuckle, “You do understand that the Democratic Party already stands for all those things?”

Past that, I have a hunch that Bernie’s full throated demands were only the beginning of a negotiation, one which addressed his three main concerns: the DNC Leadership, the Primary Process and the Party Platform.

The DNC was swift in its response to Bernie’s demand to remove Malloy and Frank from their respective chairmanship positions at the National Convention. As with the others, I predict that Debbie Wasserman Schultz will also retain her position. Bernie will be reminded that both he and she share the same goal of keeping Trump out of the White House.

With regard to the Primary Process, a lot of the problems that Bernie and his supporters complained about are with individual state processes, not the Democratic Party. Super Delegates are the one exception, and even though the party could change their role or eliminate them altogether, they provide a valuable function as an independent source of judgement, as a buffer and as a closure mechanism for the Primary Process. I predict they will stay.

Bernie’s most productive avenue for folding his movement into the Democratic Party machine is in changing the Party Platform. I predict that some changes to the Platform will be made. There is no harm in a more progressive platform. However, no one candidate’s planks ever reflect the Platform 100%.

So there you have it. My prediction as to who will stay & who will go, improbable changes to the voting process, and an updated Party Platform.

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